Thursday, October 22, 2020

Election Drama


Joe Biden has been advised to make no concession the night of the election.  I don't think anyone is expecting a concession speech from President Trump, either.

Pennsylvania could, alone, determine the election.  That state will accept mail-in ballots until the 6th of November.  Without any other discrepancies, there are 20 votes of the electoral college that will not be counted until the end of the week . . .

As crazy as 2020 has been and American politics has become, does anyone truly expect a landslide?  I'm relatively certain that Biden will take California, New York, Illinois, and Massachusetts.  Washington, Oregon, and DC are likely, as well.  Which would already give him over half of the necessary 270 votes.  That certainly does not sound like a Trump landslide in the making.

Since we're already expecting chaos, what if we add a little drama?  What if the 538 votes of the electoral college, minus Pennsylvania's 20; do not equal 270 for either candidate but sit close enough that either could win November 6, when Pennsylvania adds their tally?

I've done the math and it is possible.  Without Pennsylvania, November 3, the numbers could be 259 for both candidates or as far apart as 250 and 268, so either could still receive the 270 votes needed to be declared, President.  The real head-scratcher in this is the fact that Pennsylvania voters could actually wait until the votes are counted in the other 49 states and mail their ballot on the 4th . . . There is already wording to allow some latitude on reading the date of cancellation on the envelope.  Will Pennsylvania's declaration settle the matter on November 6, or will a challenge arise; sending the election to be determined by the Supreme Court?

Will, this election be the nail biter everyone is expecting?  Well, it is 2020!   

2 comments:

  1. I love your thought provoking blogs

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thank you for taking the time to leave a comment. I appreciate your encouragement.

    ReplyDelete

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